A paper titled ‘Modelling the spatial variation of road accidents and fatalities in Greece’ co-authored by E.Papadimitriou, V.Ekshler , G.Yannis, S.Lassarre is just published in the Proceedings of ICE – Transport. The paper focuses on the modelling of the spatial variation of road accidents and fatalities in Greece. For that purpose, NUTS-3 road accident and fatalities risk rates are used for the development of CAR and CAR-convolution spatial models. Moreover, two types of neighbourhood structures of the regional road safety data are tested: a basic structure defined according to the road connections between counties and an extended structure defined on the basis of both road and ferry connections between counties. The results suggest that the basic spatial structure accounts for an important part of the variation in road accident rates in the Greek counties, revealing a pattern of risk increase from northern to southern Greece. Spatial effects are also identifiable when considering the extended spatial structure, however without explaining a larger part of the overall variation compared to the basic structure.
Modelling the spatial variation of road accidents and fatalities in Greece 2012
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